WMO announced that the El Niño phenomenon will rapidly intensify in the coming months

Published at: 09/10/2026 08:49 AM

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) reported that the current El Niño phenomenon will rapidly intensify in the coming months, with a high probability of becoming one of the most intense episodes documented since 1950.

According to the technical projections of the institution and various international meteorological centers, there is about a 100% probability that the conditions associated with this climate event will extend steadily on the planet until February 2027.

Observations indicate that the surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean, in its central and eastern tropical areas, will reach unprecedented levels between October and December, estimating a probable average increase of +3.7 degrees Celsius.

This figure surpasses the previous historical record of +2.6 degrees reached between November 2015 and January 2016, AVN reports.

The WMO stressed that, although the seasonal trend does not imply continuous high temperatures across the globe, it does considerably increase the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events and associated climate impacts at various latitudes.

The report forecasts significant variations in global precipitation levels, anticipating higher-than-average rainfall in regions such as the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, the Horn of Africa, areas of Central Asia, the north of the Arabian Peninsula, areas of North America and southeastern South America.

WMO urged national administrations and vulnerable sectors to use these seasonal forecasts to strengthen preparedness for climate emergencies.

Mazo News Team